Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018833 0.020211 0.021642 0.023239 0.024973 0.026800 0.028872
2026-02-01 0.016404 0.018372 0.020517 0.023033 0.025910 0.029105 0.032933
2026-02-08 0.014677 0.016958 0.019532 0.022665 0.026389 0.030694 0.036071
2026-02-15 0.013489 0.015979 0.018872 0.022500 0.026953 0.032272 0.039155
2026-02-22 0.012500 0.015123 0.018245 0.022262 0.027330 0.033558 0.041867
2026-03-01 0.011709 0.014431 0.017741 0.022098 0.027731 0.034834 0.044577
2026-03-08 0.011029 0.013820 0.017280 0.021930 0.028075 0.036010 0.047176
2026-03-15 0.010528 0.013398 0.017020 0.021982 0.028680 0.037522 0.050271
2026-03-22 0.010026 0.012939 0.016678 0.021889 0.029062 0.038729 0.052987
2026-03-29 0.009595 0.012546 0.016394 0.021846 0.029489 0.039994 0.055829
2026-04-05 0.009179 0.012150 0.016079 0.021734 0.029798 0.041090 0.058467
2026-04-12 0.008848 0.011850 0.015876 0.021757 0.030286 0.042447 0.061542
2026-04-19 0.008549 0.011593 0.015734 0.021884 0.030961 0.044157 0.065336
2026-04-26 0.008157 0.011190 0.015371 0.021673 0.031132 0.045135 0.068078
2026-05-03 0.007754 0.010750 0.014934 0.021327 0.031074 0.045751 0.070271
2026-05-10 0.007439 0.010422 0.014640 0.021173 0.031289 0.046784 0.073180
2026-05-17 0.007128 0.010084 0.014314 0.020951 0.031380 0.047615 0.075793
2026-05-24 0.006857 0.009795 0.014044 0.020798 0.031563 0.048592 0.078696
2026-05-31 0.006603 0.009518 0.013782 0.020641 0.031725 0.049533 0.081582
2026-06-07 0.006419 0.009339 0.013657 0.020690 0.032217 0.051031 0.085524
2026-06-14 0.006212 0.009116 0.013455 0.020603 0.032478 0.052149 0.088850
2026-06-21 0.006028 0.008921 0.013287 0.020563 0.032807 0.053394 0.092476
2026-06-28 0.005840 0.008712 0.013087 0.020458 0.033020 0.054442 0.095794